Scenario Planning: Building Clarity in a Changing Environment

INGOs are operating in a period of deep uncertainty and shorter planning horizons: shifting political priorities, reductions in government funding, economic instability, increased scrutiny, and an accelerating push towards localisation. Against this backdrop, being able to understand the context for the next three years or even the next three months, is crucial; effective scenario planning is no longer a nice to have, it’s now an essential tool for leadership teams and boards.

This session, delivered in partnership with HaysMac, bought together specialists and INGO leaders to explore how to plan for the future, challenge internal assumptions, and build decision-making frameworks that stand up under pressure.

We covered 

• How to approach scenario planning realistically and avoid optimism bias.
• Which political, funding and sector trends to prioritise when assessing future risks.
• How to plan for and respond to potential funding cuts and organisational pressures.

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